Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 6.644187 7.584601 8.622071 9.853412 11.277469 12.875548 14.808901
2025-06-29 5.305394 6.506588 7.937877 9.775996 12.083979 14.898983 18.612412
2025-07-06 4.475369 5.778833 7.420831 9.654535 12.634660 16.502427 21.949154
2025-07-13 4.051283 5.458497 7.314834 9.964638 13.685371 18.776142 26.358710
2025-07-20 3.697923 5.167097 7.183453 10.184073 14.589339 20.902521 30.784399
2025-07-27 3.461486 4.997735 7.182859 10.559991 15.724038 23.446840 36.104413
2025-08-03 3.100042 4.603157 6.807774 10.328172 15.904992 24.561369 39.334998
2025-08-10 2.818707 4.294898 6.522241 10.188395 16.190762 25.838502 42.944839
2025-08-17 2.580904 4.027578 6.268456 10.062480 16.468748 27.109035 46.668832
2025-08-24 2.368477 3.778765 6.017203 9.908210 16.670810 28.255080 50.290419
2025-08-31 2.175187 3.542544 5.762735 9.718314 16.782346 29.240720 53.719721
2025-09-07 2.111184 3.513294 5.844926 10.108447 17.944505 32.199436 61.196560
2025-09-14 1.997653 3.392414 5.764536 10.209965 18.606318 34.338323 67.421048
2025-09-21 1.867339 3.231279 5.599942 10.141786 18.942218 35.895671 72.684151
2025-09-28 1.741438 3.067169 5.415243 10.016258 19.150167 37.217898 77.621054
2025-10-05 1.691056 3.034851 5.465259 10.339043 20.269025 40.478418 87.163231
2025-10-12 1.631319 2.979933 5.467785 10.567435 21.217699 43.490624 96.573612
2025-10-19 1.596048 2.967765 5.549071 10.958726 22.542848 47.447956 108.727669
2025-10-26 1.487954 2.807354 5.331089 10.717422 22.492733 48.396183 113.848723
2025-11-02 1.399756 2.679233 5.166488 10.571933 22.634998 49.786420 120.245802
2025-11-09 1.320177 2.562377 5.015320 10.440880 22.794595 51.230629 126.982248
2025-11-16 1.243764 2.446427 4.857195 10.280320 22.869593 52.481842 133.395474
2025-11-23 1.169546 2.329796 4.689050 10.082695 22.837763 53.470820 139.250495